According to YouGov, the Party commands a plurality of voters only among the over 70s. As far as voting intention is concerned, the Conservative Party is literally dying on its feet.
The longer Number Ten fails to declare, the more cheerfully Labour will pile in – preparing to frame the Prime Minister as a bottler if he waits until after the Budget to rule out a May poll.
As his options narrow, Sunak has little choice but to get back to first principles, which would be the right course anyway.
The number of possibilities teaches us three lessons about politics today. Firstly, never to underestimate the role played by mere chance. Secondly, that this is not an age of great leaders who make their own luck. And, thirdly, that we need to choose more carefully in future.
Do not confuse the quietude on the part of Matthew Parker Street for anything more than the usual calm between election periods.
Over this period, the UK’s economic growth was level with the US’s and exceeded the other five members of the G7. In other words, on international comparisons, we did well.
The Chairman of the 1922 Committee’s Executive is an enemy of rule by decree and a stern upholder of parliamentary scrutiny
The coalition of voters that he put together has taken a battering – but it endures yet.
Exactly a decade after forming a government with the Conservatives, the Liberal Democrats are languishing on the political fringes – where did it all go wrong?
These savings were desperately needed to make Darling’s books balance. They were put in Labour’s 2010 manifesto.
As the tenth anniversary of the 2010 election approaches, the author says that Labour’s own austerity record and plans were almost as tough as the Coalition’s.
And so it was that the cause of Remain, fronted by Cameron and George Osborne, lost out to that of Leave, led by…Boris Johnson and Michael Gove.
And in 2008, I wrote that non-Tories voting for Johnson would swing the Mayoral election. I hope they swing today’s poll in the same way.
It’s a contest between Sunderland and Newcastle. But even if Labour does badly in early results, how much will that tell us?
Each party has savaged the other’s efforts to tackle the problem with the same lazy attacks. Now the only common ground seems to be to kick the problem into more long grass.