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LABy Lord Ashcroft KCMG PC. Follow Lord Ashcroft on Twitter.

It is sometimes remarked that the centre ground of
politics is not the same thing as the common ground. There is some truth in
this. Overall, most people want to vote for parties that seem
sensibly moderate rather than those that have veered too far one way or
the other, but this does not mean that on any given issue – crime, immigration,
the NHS – the centre of gravity of public opinion is always in the middle of
the spectrum.

Yet politicians should beware of using this argument as
an excuse to pursue preoccupations of their own which few voters share. A good
example of this occurred at the end of June in the form of the so-called
Alternative Queen’s Speech, a raft of measures (why do measures always arrive
on rafts?) put forward by a number of Tory backbenchers which are, according to
Peter Bone MP, designed to “recapture the common ground, where most views are”.


I decided to put this contention to the test in a poll.
As I suspected, it turns out that many of the proposed new laws cover
ground which is neither central nor common.

Mr Bone’s favourite among this assortment of “true blue
bills” is the proposal to name the August Bank Holiday “Margaret Thatcher Day”.
Unfortunately it is also the least popular. Only 13% of voters thought this was
a good idea (and only 9% of those who were told the idea had been put forward
by Conservative MPs); two thirds did not. Even Tory voters disagreed with the
policy by a margin of 23 points.

The idea of allowing employees to opt out of the minimum
wage was also strikingly unpopular, with only 23% agreeing. The suggestion of
abolishing the Department of Energy and Climate Change won over a full quarter
of the electorate, while privatising the BBC amassed the support of 28%. Less
than a third also approved of scrapping the office of Deputy Prime Minister and
ending subsidies to wind farms.

I make no particular judgment on whether these are good
ideas or not, or whether they constitute the “proper conservative policies”
that Mr Bone and his colleagues claim (though it is at least debatable in some
cases, such as banning the burka – how many Tories entered politics in order to
tell people what to wear?) The point is that these proposals are supposed to be
surpassingly popular, the antidote to compromise and muddle, the “mish-mash of
inconsistent ideas that satisfy no-one”.

Yet at least as instructive as the proportion of people
agreeing with each proposal is the number who could not rouse themselves to an
opinion one way or the other. For example, some (actually 39%, I can reveal)
supported removing some of the UK’s waters from the Common Fisheries Policy,
but nearly half had no view either way.

In equal first place with the fisheries proposal on what
I have termed the ‘Meh Index’ is scrapping the DPM’s office, on which 48% had
no opinion, slightly more than the 45% who were unexercised by the continued
existence, or otherwise, of DECC. This equals the Meh Index score for requiring
developers to hand over residential roads to local authorities within certain
periods of time (my personal favourite among these election-winning People’s
Policies).

Only 38% approved of the proposal to withdraw Britain
immediately from the EU. Perhaps surprisingly, one third of respondents had no
opinion on this – a further reminder that the most hotly contested issues in
Westminster often provoke rather less passion in the country at large.

That is not to say all the measures on the raft were
dismissed. More than three quarters  supported various ideas on welfare,
immigration and crime, rising to 90% for making sure offenders committing the
same offence for a second or third time serve longer sentences than they did
for their original conviction. Ensuring prisoners serve the full sentence
handed down by the court and deporting foreign offenders also met very wide
approval.

Though there may be merit in these ideas, we would be
foolish to rely on them as our main campaign themes, however popular they may
be in the abstract. It is notable that for all these more broadly supported
policies, as for most of the proposals on the list, support was measurably
lower among the half of respondents who were told the ideas came from Tories.

Winning in 2015 will mean more than devising the most
eye-catching ways of clamping down on criminals and foreigners. We certainly
need to deliver on immigration, crime and welfare reform, but it is at least as
important for the Tories to be a competent and united party of government that
can be trusted on the economy and public services (which, incidentally, merited
scarcely a mention in the Alternative Queen’s Speech). Rather than play fantasy
politics we need to respond to the country's anxieties and aspirations, not
least those of people who may never have voted Conservative before. 

That ought to be common ground.

Table
(Click table for larger version)

> 2,013 adults were interviewed online between 28 and 30 June 2013. Visit LordAshcroftPolls.com
for the full poll results and to sign up for news alerts.

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