By Paul Goodman
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Michael Crick tweeted earlier this evening: "Four MPs at 1922 Committee critical of Andrew Mitchell – Andrew Percy,
James Duddridge, Ann Main, Sarah Wollaston. 12-15 backed him."
I am told that the difference of view was more 50-50 than three or four to one. (Memories don't always tally, as I pointed out earlier this week in the context of the row itself.)
Robert Buckland, Bernard Jenkin, Edward Leigh, Penny Mordaunt, and Nicholas Soames were apparently supportive of Mr Mitchell (and Philip Davies rather critical).
I'm also informed that there is no mood in the '22 Executive for the Chief Whip to go now, though some of its members think that he should have departed after the original incident.
My guess earlier this week was that Mr Mitchell would attend the '22, and that any criticism of him would be muted.
For better or worse, he wasn't there – I presume it was decided that MPs present should be able to speak freely – and it can't fairly be claimed that they were constrained in what they said.
So we have the worst outcome for Cameron and the best outcome for Miliband: a wounded Conservative Chief Whip. I don't think Mr Mitchell should go, but he is in a bad way.
21.45pm Update A very senior source insists that the Crick tally was correct. I am recording his view to reinforce the point that, as I note above, "memories don't always tally".