By Joseph Willits
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Under proposals by the Welsh Boundary Commission, three Conservative seats will be abolished, one will be lost, and two would be gained from Labour. Those being abolished are:
- Aberconwy (Guto Bebb)
- Montgomeryshire (Glyn Davies)
- Preseli Pembrokeshire (Stephen Crabb). The seat largely returns to its pre-1997 boundaries.
The new seat of Caerphilly & Cardiff North (currently held by Tory MP Jonathan Evans) would have had a Labour winner under the new proposals.
However, two new seats would mean a Tory MP would be elected judging on 2010's results:
- Glyndwr and North Powys, the successor to Clwyd South (currently held by Labour MP Susan Jones) would be Conservative.
- Gower and Swansea West, the successor to Swansea West (currently held by Labour MP Geraint Davies) would be Conservative.