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Cameron7pm WATCH: Clips from Cameron's and Osborne's statements today…

5pm ToryDiary: More evidence emerges that young voters are shifting to the right – this time on the welfare state

2pm On ToryDiary, your five (and a bit) point guide to Osborne’s big speech: "His argument was that the major cause of declining living standards is a declining economy – and, for that, Labour doesn’t have the answers. This is rather cunning. As growth returns, Miliband & Co. would love to talk about micro measures rather than macro ones. Osborne is trying to deny them that opportunity."

12.15pm LeftWatch: Miliband's defeat in the trade union battle threatens Labour's entire election strategy

11.30am Local Government: Pendle Labour councillor defects to Conservatives

RedlinesWe open a series on what Cameron's "red lines" should be in any second Conservative-Liberal Democrat Coalition. ToryDiary: Party members want a say in any decision about a second Coalition with the Liberal Democrats in 2015

Two items about trade unions:

Lord Ashcroft on Comment: What Scots voters think about Scotland's Parliament, leaders and Government

On Local Government, Harry Phibbs writes the first post in a week-long series on sponsored academies, about the successful chain of Outwood Academies

The Deep End: The real reason why we won’t act on gender-specific abortions

"Our economy's turning a corner" – George Osborne's speech today

DT"The economy is 'turning the corner', George Osborne will declare on Monday as he claims a 'decisive' victory over Labour on public spending policy. … The Chancellor will issue a message of optimism in a speech that marks a shift in Coalition rhetoric on the economy. … Britain is experiencing the fastest growth since the 1990s, he will say, while arguing that criticism of the Coalition’s austerity programme by Ed Balls, the shadow chancellor, has been proven entirely wrong." – Daily Telegraph

  • "He’s not Mr Popular, but George Osborne deserves credit for sticking to his austerity plan. It’s working." – Sun editorial (£)
  • "The key question to ask is what kind of recovery this is, and who is really gaining from it." – Guardian editorial
  • "Only a new wave of socialism can end the great squeeze on us all" – Owen Jones, The Independent

> Yesterday on ToryDiary: With his speech tomorrow, Osborne is trying to pre-empt a new set of political circumstances

Hague warns that Britain's standing could be "diminished" after the Syria vote

WH"The Foreign Secretary said he and David Cameron were working to ensure that Britain does not ‘matter less’ in the wake of the landmark vote, which effectively ruled out British involvement in any attack on the Syrian regime. … ‘It wasn’t the vote the Government sought,’ he said. ‘We have to make sure that Britain isn’t diminished.’" – Daily Mail

  • "US Secretary of State John Kerry and the foreign secretary, William Hague, are expected to discuss the possibility of the US postponing any attack on Syria until after weapons inspectors have reported and the issue has been discussed again at the UN security council, when they meet in London on Monday." – The Guardian
  • "John Kerry, the US Secretary of State, will today try to reassure Britain that the “special relationship” between London and Washington is still intact despite the Commons decision not to participate in an American-led military strike against Syria." – The Times (£)

> Yesterday's video to WATCH: The G20 discussions about Syria were "heavy going", says Hague

But could Tory MPs give the go-ahead for military action in a second vote?

Syria"However, a survey of Conservative MPs found that if the Prime Minister were to return to the Commons he might be able to carry a vote on military action. … The PM would be able to rely on the support of at least nine MPs who did not vote, with at least a further eight willing to consider voting for military action if a clear strategy for intervention were presented." – Daily Telegraph

Ministers launch a new initiative to support jobs in the defence industry

"David Camerom said its aim was 'to deliver a long-term strategic vision to maintain our position on the leader board – maximising opportunities for British business and further strengthening the economy'. … But companies worry that little can help make up for defence cuts if the Ministry of Defence keeps its pledge to buy kit 'off the shelf' and the government steps back from fighting wars." – Financial Times

Police Association boss warns that government cuts could threaten neighbourhood policing

Police"Bobbies on the beat could become an endangered species whose demise could cost Britain vital intelligence on terrorism and security, the head of the Superintendents' Association has warned. … Ch Supt Curtis said: 'We need the Home Secretary and her colleagues in the Coalition Government to hear this. Neighbourhood policing is a core function of policing in this country – but it risks becoming a victim of cuts.'" – Daily Telegraph

  • Criminal courts should play a more active role in cutting reoffending rates, claims report - Financial Times
  • Prisons are secretly handing out condoms to inmates - The Sun (£)

The FT calls on the Government to withdraw its lobbying legislation

FT"The government has acted with undue haste, simply in an effort to ensure that the law is in place a year before the general election. This is not good lawmaking. … The bill should be withdrawn. Campaign measures should be decoupled from the lobbying proposals and considered independently. In any case, legislation affecting political funding and elections should be the subject of cross-party agreement." – Financial Times editorial

Boris proposes a "London visa" to boost tech companies

"Boris Johnson, London mayor, has proposed a new 'London visa' which would make it easier for talented tech experts and fashion designers around the world to get jobs in the capital. … The plan, submitted to the Home Office, is an attempt by City Hall to boost tech start-ups and fashion studios which struggle with the bureaucracy and cost of the newly tightened visa system." – Financial Times

Tim Montgomerie: Tony Abbott and the BoreCons show how to win

TM"The brand of conservatism that is succeeding is what we might call Boringsville conservatism. … There’s nothing flashy or clever about Boringsville conservatism. Exciting conservatism slashes government spending. BoreCons look for efficiencies, protect key public services and plot slow but steady paths to balanced budgets. They’re more interested in cutting household electricity bills than (futile) attempts to stop climate change." – Tim Montgomerie, The Times (£)

  • Can we clone Tony Abbott, please, and put him into Number 10 forthwith?" – Melanie Phillips, Daily Mail
  • "British Tories eager to interpret Mr Abbott’s victory as proof that David Cameron should embrace a more traditional conservatism need to remember the unpopularity of the outgoing government. They should also note that Mr Abbott is a more subtle politician than caricatures of him suggest." – Times editorial (£)
  • "The general election victory of Tony Abbott’s Liberal-National coalition has two important lessons for British Conservatives: keep your party united, and hammer home a clear message." – Daily Telegraph editorial
  • "Abbott’s term will be bumpier than his electoral stroll" – Financial Times editorial
  • "Conservatives should not conclude that a lurch to the right will deliver victory in 2015" – Independent editorial

Steve Webb pushes for a cap on pension fees

"Steve Webb, pensions minister, is pressing for a cap in certain special cases, in what would be a dramatic reversal of current policy, which is to make the pensions industry more transparent rather than forcing down charges. … A study by the FT in 2011 showed that some savers are losing more than a third of their pension pots in fees and commissions over the lifetime of a scheme." – Financial Times

Huhne attacks the "Murdoch press" for its role in his downfall, and for corroding trust in polititcs

CH"The moral of this story? First, none of this would have been possible without my own mistakes. I am no saint (but nor did I claim to be). Second, politicians now have to live with a 24-hour media, which is more intrusive and hurtful for the people they love, and this is having a corrosive effect on how the public view politicians, and politics itself." – Chris Huhne, The Guardian

  • "We desperately need more female MPs, but I want the 146 who have already clawed their way onto the green benches to man up, stop whingeing and to fight dirty." – Janet Street Porter, Daily Mail

Miliband plans to crack down on zero-hours contracts

"In an address to the TUC, Miliband will set out proposals to tackle the spread of zero-hours contracts, now believed to affect millions of workers … Miliband's commitment stops short of an outright ban on the contracts but will be welcomed by unions demanding he shifts focus from union-Labour reforms to proposals to help working people." – The Guardian

Alistair Darling implores his party leader: stop the squabbling, and spell out some policies

"Ed Miliband is told today by one of Labour’s most respected figures to show 'strength of conviction' as union leaders warn that a 'squabbling' party is heading for electoral defeat. … Alistair Darling, the former Chancellor, tells the party leadership that it needs urgently to spell out policies and be honest with voters about limits on public spending." – The Times (£)

  • "Milisecond (n): the time it takes Ed to do the unions’ bidding" – Boris Johnson, Daily Telegraph
  • "The unions have more credibility today than Labour" – Ross Clark, The Times (£)
  • "The Labour leader looks weaker than ever." – Daily Mail editorial
  • "Miliband must not falter in plans to loosen ties to the unions" – Independent editorial

What really lay behind Miliband's Falkirk decision?

Ed Miliband"An uneasy truce between Unite and the Labour leadership after Ed Miliband's decision to abandon an inquiry into voting malpractice in Falkirk was threatening to fray on Sunday amid claims that witnesses had been bullied into dropping accusations and a claim by a Labour MP that Unite threatened to stop £3m in party donations unless an apology was given." – The Guardian

  • "Unite, one of the country’s biggest public sector unions, did not pay any tax in 2011 and 2012, despite owning £51.6 million of stocks and shares, it has been claimed." – Daily Telegraph
  • Len McCluskey rival calls for Unite leadership election result to be annulled – The Guardian
  • Unite invests £10m in hotel built for members – The Times (£)
  • Boost for Ed Miliband as union members support his "opt-in" reforms of Labour-union relations - The Independent

> Today:

The union bosses' warnings for the Labour leader

DP"Britain's union leaders branded Ed Miliband a ‘schoolboy’ yesterday – and warned the Labour leader he was ‘living in cloud cuckoo land’ if he thought his party reforms would succeed. … Dave Prentis, general-secretary of Unison, said Britain’s biggest public sector union would cut its annual funding to Labour by £210,000…" – Daily Mail

The union bosses' warnings for the rest of us

"Nurses, teachers, postmen, firemen and train drivers could soon conduct ‘the biggest wave of industrial action in a generation’, union bosses warned yesterday. … Dave Prentis, the head of Unison, said workers are close to breaking point after years of pay restrictions as a result of the recession." – Daily Mail

Lord Ashcroft's latest poll reveals that only one-in-four Scots want independence

Poll"Surveying over 10,000 people, the poll gives an insight into voting intentions for the next Scottish elections, opinions of party leaders and achievements of the Scottish Parliament, while putting support for independence at 26 per cent, the no vote at 65 per cent and just 10 per cent undecided." – Holyrood.com

> Today, by Lord Ashcroft on Comment: What Scots voters think about Scotland's Parliament, leaders and Government

Thousands of schools are "coasting", according to Ofsted figures

"More than 2,000 schools in Britain are coasting and could face sanctions if they do not improve as part of a toughening up of Ofsted inspections, it has emerged. … Almost a third of schools inspected between September 2012 and June this year fell into the 'requires improvement' category following the introduction of the new system, according to figures released today." – Daily Telegraph

> Yesterday, by Michael Gove on Comment: Why traditional education is a work of social justice – one that I'm striving to deliver

Select Committees 1): The case for HS2 is fading, says Public Accounts Committee

HS2"In a stark assessment, the Commons Public Accounts Committee said the case for the 351-mile link was fading. … Chairman Margaret Hodge said: ‘The Department for Transport… has not yet demonstrated that this is the best way to spend £50billion on rail investment in these constrained times, and that the improved connectivity will promote growth in the regions rather than sucking even more activity into London." – Daily Mail

  • Welsh government demands £2bn compensation for costs of HS2 – Financial Times

Select Committees 2): Name the bosses who enjoyed huge payoffs, MPs tell the Beeb

"The BBC was at the centre of a fresh pay row last night as MPs demanded it name 150 fatcats who pocketed huge payoffs. … It has fought to keep the recipients’ identities secret, citing data protection issues. … But the influential Public Accounts Committee is to use its powers to force the broadcaster to hand over the list of names." – Daily Mail

  • "The real problem with the BBC is that it doesn’t think it’s done anything wrong" – Stephen Pollard, Daily Telegraph
  • "Chop monster Beeb down to size or this saga will run and run" – Trevor Kavanagh, The Sun (£)
  • "The Director-General must make it clear that the culture of astronomical payoffs is now in the past" – Libby Purves, The Times (£)
  • "The BBC has had a culture of paying senior executives too much. This needs to come to an end." – Times editorial (£)

Select Committees 3): Will MPs release the names of those companies linked to phone hacking?

Phone"Westminster’s home affairs committee was due to publish the dossier, which contains the name of X Factor millionaire Simon Cowell, later today…. But after sustained pressure from the Serious Organised Crime Agency, the Metropolitan Police and the Information Commissioner Sir Christopher Graham, MPs will discuss whether to proceed." – Daily Mail

News in brief

  • Sir John Vickers, who chaired the Independent Commission on Banking, reckons that the banks should double their capital levels – Financial Times
  • Young voters supports pensions ahead of unemployment benefits, suggests poll – Daily Mail
  • 8 in 10 nurses say that A&E strain is putting lives at risk – Daily Mail
  • Nigel Evans will resign from his position if he is charged with rape and sexual assault, according to his friends – The Times (£)
  • EDL leader arrested at London march – The Times (£)

And finally 1)… Cameron has no time for Cristina Kirchner

[Argentina’s president Cristina Kirchner] was mounting a long diatribe in Spanish, attacking President Barack Obama’s plans for military strikes on the Assad regime. … Frustrated by it all, Mr Cameron then provocatively pulled out his translator’s earpiece. … To show he had stopped listening, he then waved the device at a furious Mrs Kirchner across the table — prompting her to bring her 20-minute speech to a swift conclusion." – The Sun (£)

And finally 2)… Did Cameron leave his red box unattended?

Red Box"David Cameron was left red-faced after apparently leaving his ministerial red box unattended on a train – with the key still in its lock. … It was photographed by a fellow passenger, seemingly unattended on a table, after Mr Cameron wandered to another part of the train. … Downing Street insisted that claims of a security breach were ‘nonsense’, and that a member of Mr Cameron’s police protection team was keeping watch at all times." – Daily Mail

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